Gold News

Silver and Gold Rebound as Iran War Finally Gives Crude Oil a Year-on-Year Price Rise

SILVER and GOLD PRICES held onto most of last night's surge on Wednesday, showing a gain for the week so far as crude oil slipped but headed for its first year-on-year gain in 20 months thanks to the ongoing Iran War.

Bond and stock prices also rallied with precious metals as US President Trump's claim that talks with Iran about ending the war had yielded a "big prize" was today followed by Turkey and Pakistan both saying they are acting as intermediaries between Washington and Tehran.

But with gold and silver erasing the last of Monday's steep precious metals crash, "it is not beautiful even on paper," Al Jazeera quotes a senior source in Iran, who calls Washington's 15-point peace plan "extremely maximalist and unreasonable".

"We don't want to be fooled again" other Tehran sources said after the US joined Israel in attacking Iran at the start of this month despite ongoing talks.

Peaking last Thursday and Friday at 4-year highs around $113, Brent crude oil today sank as low as $98.85 per barrel but held $2 above Monday night's slump before rallying to $100 again.

Having come into 2026 with the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasting a record glut thanks to massive oversupply, that puts crude oil on track for its first year-on-year gain since July 2024 at a month-average price of $94 per barrel.

Gold, in contrast, has now shown a year-on-year rise in each of the past 36 months, while silver's month-average price in Dollars has made an unbroken run of year-on-year gains since February 2024.

BullionVault chart of year-on-year % change in month-average US Dollar price of Brent crude, silver and gold

Monday's crash to 4-month lows saw silver trading 15.7% beneath last Friday's midday auction in London, while gold bullion lost as much as 10.1% from last weekend.

But silver today traded up to $73.30 per Troy ounce around London's midday auction, showing a 1.3% gain from Friday's fixing.

Gold meantime recovered last Friday's London 3pm fixing at $4562 per Troy ounce.

"We've seen gold playing its usual, typical role in periods of distress," says UK multinational bank Standard Chartered's global head of commodities research Suki Cooper, "acting as a nearby source of liquidity" for traders needing to raise cash to cover losing positions on other assets.

Gold made "a healthy correction in January and [now] March, not an unwind of the secular trade," says strategist Nicky Shiels at Swiss bullion refining and finance group MKS Pamp.

"Gold is becoming a multi-year critical portfolio asset, not a cyclical hedge...[and] silver is 'high-beta gold', highly USD-sensitive and nowhere near its inflation-adjusted highs around $200/oz.

"[That's] leaving ample runway as investment demand (retail + ETF) reignites."

Back in the Middle East, death and destruction continued despite the US claims of progress in talks to end the war, with Hezbollah in Lebanon striking Israel's northern city of Karmiel with a missile strike as the UN Human Rights Council condemned Iran's "egregious, unprovoked attacks" on its Gulf neighbours.

Iran said it is closely monitoring the build-up of US troops in the region.

"We negotiate with bombs," said US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth.

 

Adrian Ash

Adrian Ash, BullionVault Gold News

Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the world-leading physical gold, silver, platinum and palladium market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and he has now been researching and writing daily analysis of precious metals and the wider financial markets for over 20 years. A frequent guest on BBC radio and television, Adrian is regularly quoted by the Financial Times, MarketWatch and many other respected news outlets, and his views from inside the bullion market have been sought by the Economist magazine, CNBC, Bloomberg, Germany's Handelsblatt and FAZ, plus Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

Please Note: All articles published here are to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it. Please review our Terms & Conditions for accessing Gold News.

Follow Us

 

Mobile apps

 - live trading 24/7

 - buy & sell instantly

 - up-to-the-second charts

 

App Store

 

Google Play Store

 

 

 

 

Daily news email
See 'communications settings' 

Gold price chart

Latest news free

 

 

 

Gold Investor Index
3 March 2026

Gold Investor Index

Never more popular

 

 

 

CNBC-e
12 February 2026 (in English)

Too hot, too fast

 

 

 

BBC R4 Today
23 December 2025

Gold jumps

 

 

 

LBMA
28 October 2025 

Metals in motion

 

 

 

Market Fundamentals