Gold News

Gold and Silver Drop as Fed Cuts Rates, Bond Yields Rise with the Dollar

SILVER DROPPED and GOLD prices sank almost 2% early Thursday after briefly setting a new all-time high against the Dollar following yesterday's quarter-point cut to US interest rates by the Federal Reserve.

Spiking to $3707 per Troy ounce as the US Dollar plunged on the news, the price of gold then dropped as low as $3634 in late Asian trade today, also erasing this week's previous gains for Euro, UK Pound and Japanese Yen investors.

Silver also spiked on the Fed's rate cut − the first ever Fed policy decision made with a sitting White House official on its Board − briefly trading back at unchanged for this week so far before falling once more towards 1-week lows beneath $41.40 per Troy ounce, down more than $1.50 from Tuesday's new 14-year peak.

"The labor market is softening...[So] you can think of this, in a way, as a risk management cut," said Jerome Powell after the Federal Open Market Committee he chairs cut overnight US borrowing rates to 4.08% as expected while projecting 2 further quarter-point cuts by year-end in September's 'dot plot' forecasts, also matching futures market consensus bets.

Chart of current gold price in US Dollars vs. futures market's consensus bet on end-2025 Fed rates plus the FOMC's own median projection over time. Source: BullionVault

“We have begun to see goods prices showing through into higher inflation," Powell added when asked about President Trump's trade tariffs.

"[But] to the consumer, the passthrough has been pretty small...slower and smaller than we thought."

Fed governor Lisa Cook still in attendance despite Trump "firing" her, new appointee Stephen Miran, currently also Trump's chief economic advisor, was alone in calling for a half-point cut while projecting 2 more half-point cuts by year-end.

"This looks like a gesture more than anything else, and it’s hard to take seriously," says Bloomberg columnist John Authers.

"What really mattered," Authers says, is that Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman − both named as possible Trump replacements for Fed chair − voted with Jerome 'Too Late' Powell after  dissenting in July by calling for a cut when the Committee stayed on hold.

The Dollar rallied on yesterday's Fed news, edging higher from new 3.5-year lows against the world's other major currencies.

US stock markets failed to rise, closing 0.2% below Monday's fresh all-time high on the S&P500, and longer-term US Treasury bonds also fell in price, nudging government borrowing costs higher.

"The rise in very long-term government bond yields is happening everywhere," says Robin Brooks, formerly chief FX strategist at US investment bank Goldman Sachs and now a senior fellow at Washington think-tank the Brookings Institution.

"There's idiosyncratic trouble spots like Japan, France and the UK, but what's playing out is far bigger than that. Fiscal policy globally has been too loose for too long. That has consequences."

"Gold is now the anti-fragile asset to own, rather than Treasuries," says US investment bank Morgan Stanley's chief investment officer Mike Wilson, recommending that investors replace the 60:40 portfolio of stocks and bonds with 60:20:20 in stocks, fixed income and gold.

 

Adrian Ash

Adrian Ash, BullionVault Gold News

Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the world-leading physical gold, silver, platinum and palladium market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and he has now been researching and writing daily analysis of precious metals and the wider financial markets for over 20 years. A frequent guest on BBC radio and television, Adrian is regularly quoted by the Financial Times, MarketWatch and many other respected news outlets, and his views from inside the bullion market have been sought by the Economist magazine, CNBC, Bloomberg, Germany's Handelsblatt and FAZ, plus Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

Please Note: All articles published here are to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it. Please review our Terms & Conditions for accessing Gold News.

Follow Us

Facebook Youtube Twitter LinkedIn

 

Mobile apps

 - live trading 24/7

 - buy & sell instantly

 - up-to-the-second charts

App Store

Google Play Store

 

 

 

 

Daily news email
See 'communications settings' 

Gold price chart

Latest news free

 

 

 

Gold Investor Index
3 September 2025

No gold rush

 

 

 

Newsweek
6 May 2025

Americans buy gold?

 

 

 

BBC R4 Today
2 September 2025

Gold tops $3500

 

 

Wirtschaft mit Weisbach
9 September 2025

Why is gold soaring?

 

 

 

Market Fundamentals